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24 May 2012 23:55 h
My hand analysis
Posts: Ascending order | Descending order


Straight
Straight
14 February 2010 07:06 h
I want someone to take a look and give a piece of advice on my way to make hands analysis. I choose a hand were I was pretty sure I played my so called "FFST (Fukn fish style strategy" but according to my analysis it could be not so bad played (not brillant though)

So here it goes, my hand with my analysis of why I did what I did and if it was ok or not, dont be too hard on me!!


Hand History for Game 18432681926 (Full Tilt)
$10.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Saturday, February 13, 02:46:37 ET 2010
Table Mach 10 (Real Money)
Seat 7 is the button
Seat 1: UTG ( $2.95 USD ), Seat 2: UTG+1 ( $3.95 USD ), Seat 3: UTG+2 ( $20.31 USD ), Seat 4: UTG+3 ( $9.77 USD ), Seat 5: UTG+4 ( $10.00 USD ), Seat 6: Cut Off (CO) ( $8.97 USD ), Seat 7: BTN( $13.24 USD ), Seat 8: Small Blind (SB) ( $3.64 USD ), Seat 9: Hero (BB) ( $33.66 USD )
Small Blind (SB) posts [$0.05 USD].
Hero (BB) posts [$0.10 USD].
Dealing down cards
Dealt to Hero (BB) [

9 of diamonds queen of diamonds
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 folds, UTG+3 folds, UTG+4 raises [$0.35 USD], Cut Off (CO) folds, BTN folds, Small Blind (SB) folds
Hero (BB) calls [$0.25 USD]


Why calling here you can ask? Well, this is a rush poker table in full tilt and one thing I learned about these tables is that players are pretty tigth, and those who aren´t are really afraid of setminers so I figured out that is really easy to steal a big number of pots after the flop. So I called with the intention of stealing the pot from this player that I had notes on him that raised a lot from late positions (not HM can be used in Rush poker so I take a lot of notes)


So hand continues with the FLOP

Dealing Flop [

4 of diamonds, 3 of hearts, 8 of diamonds
Hero (BB) checks
UTG+4 bets [$0.70 USD]
Hero (BB) raises [$1.60 USD]
UTG+4 raises [$1.80 USD]


Here as I told before, I am trying to steal the pot but not as an entire bluff but with a semibluff. He reraises back but with a really small reraise so I have to pay

$0,90 in a $4,85 pot, having 5,38 to 1 pot odds or 15,7% (not counting implied odds since he seems to have a strong hand he will not fold to easy)

Here is where I need help in the analysis: to calculate my outs

Outs to a flush: 9 outs
Outs to a top pair Queen: 3 outs.
Outs to a top pair nine: 3 outs

Total: 15 outs. BUT..............

I will not always have the best hand with this Qhigh flush, and certainly not always will have the best hand with my Q top pair and I am pretty sure will not have the best hand with a 9 top pair. How many outs should I discount?

In my analysis I discounted 1 outs from the flush, 2 outs from the queens and the whole 3 nines, giving me a total 10 outs. Why?
.....
..... Why not?
So, 10 outs, is 21,23% chances of hitting my hand. So I called those $0.90


So the hero calls the rereraise and hopes for a good turn...

Hero (BB) calls [$0.90 USD]
Dealing Turn [

7 of hearts
Hero (BB) checks
UTG+4 bets [$2.30 USD]


Nothing changed too much, my outs remains almost the same because no over card showed, he makes a small bet related to the pot, less than half of the pot. But (at least in these levels) this bet means he has some good hand but somehow dangerous so I can think I will not have the better hand with a Q pair.
He gives me 2,5 to 1 pot odds, but I am pretty sure I will stack him if I hit the flush since I am putting him in an overpair QQ+ or a set, so my pot odds are 5,74 to 1, this is 17,43% chances of getting his stack.
I have 9 outs to flush meaning 19,47% so I call:


The hero calls this less than half a pot bet and gets lucky

Hero (BB) calls [$2.30 USD]
Dealing River [

6 of diamonds
Hero (BB) bets [$6.95 USD]
UTG+4 calls [$4.85 USD]
Hero (BB) wins $2.10 USD
Hero (BB) shows 9 of diamonds, queen of diamonds
Hero (BB) wins $18.72 USD from main pot
UTG+4 doesn't show king of diamonds, king of spades


Well, that´s all, of course, this is the analysis I made post hand, in the actual hand this is way less accurate and in fact I thougth I played this hand horribly. But now I think there are a couple of things well done

So, I hope someone will let me know how to improve the hand analysis (despite the hand itself :lol
Flush
Flush
14 February 2010 09:34 h
Really in my view you didnt play the hand bad at all. You defend your BB with Q9s and flop 2 overs and a FD. You tried to steal the flop and he didnt protect his Kings enough. He is the one wo played the hand very bad I think, not You. Im sure if he pushed the flop then your going to fold right? You made him scared and he bitched out on his Kings! I think the only way your going to get in some trouble here is if a Q comes on the river. When you build the pot with a draw and hit top pair and you have alot invested its a tough decision if you dont make a great hand. NH
Poker Pro
Poker Pro
14 February 2010 15:57 h
nice hand

would reraise pre though


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